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VirtualBacon 🚨

13 мар. 2026 г., 00:02

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$BTC: One of the most consistent patterns in Bitcoin's macro structure is the compression of cycle tops within the logarithmic regression rainbow:
🔴 Cycle 1 (2011): Topped at Band 13 — Blow-Off Territory
🟠 Cycle 2 (2013): Topped at Band 12 — Speculative Excess
🟡 Cycle 3 (2017): Topped at Band 10 — Late Expansion Phase
🟢 Cycle 4 (2021): Topped at Band 8 — Early Expansion Phase
🔵 Cycle 5 (Oct 2025): Topped at Band 6 — Fair Value Mid Range

Each cycle peak has been approximately 2 bands lower than the previous one. This is consistent with the diminishing-returns thesis. As Bitcoin matures and market cap grows, the relative upside per cycle compresses.
On the support side: Band 3 (Deep Value Zone) has repeatedly acted as a floor during accumulation phases across multiple cycles. Historically, sustained time below Band 3 has been rare and short-lived.
What this tells us: The model suggests we're in a structural shift where "blow-off tops" become less extreme with each cycle, but the long-term upward trajectory ...

VirtualBacon 🚨

13 мар. 2026 г., 00:02

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VirtualBacon 🚨

13 мар. 2026 г., 00:02

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ETH: The price is currently testing the first micro resistance zone. A break above $2035 would indicate that a low of sorts may have formed already and the focus will shift to the next resistance level at $2155.

VirtualBacon 🚨

13 мар. 2026 г., 00:02

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AXS: (Request) The current structure suggests that the yellow scenario remains dominant, which represents the bearish interpretation. The chart does not currently display characteristics of a bullish structure.
After the 3-wave advance toward the all-time high and the subsequent 5-wave decline into the 2023 low, the broader structure continues to allow further downside. Within this framework, the market may now be developing a third wave to the downside.
A bullish alternative remains possible in the form of a larger B-wave within the blue scenario. However, the market has recently been rejected strongly from resistance, which keeps the probability elevated that the broader downward sequence continues to unfold.

VirtualBacon 🚨

13 мар. 2026 г., 00:02

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$BNB
Binance Coin continues to consolidate below the first resistance region between USD 684 and USD 722. As long as price remains beneath this zone, the market has not yet produced confirmation of a sustained upward breakout. Within the current structure, another marginal low remains possible. While such a move is not required, the microstructure would appear more proportional if the market develops one additional low before attempting a stronger rebound.

VirtualBacon 🚨

13 мар. 2026 г., 00:02

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XLM: For XLM, the market has not yet formed a clear five-wave move to the upside from the February low. In Elliott Wave terms, that type of impulsive structure would normally be one of the first indications that a more sustainable bottom may be forming.
The recent decline has already reached an important target area, which means the downside objectives of the correction have largely been met. However, the market is still lacking the broader strength across the crypto sector that would normally accompany the formation of a durable low.
Because of that, further downside cannot be ruled out at this stage. One level that could become particularly relevant is the blue trendline support, which currently comes in around $0.11 to $0.12.
This area could attract buyers if the market continues to weaken, but until we see a clearer impulsive move to the upside, it remains difficult to argue that a confirmed bottom is already in place.

VirtualBacon 🚨

13 мар. 2026 г., 00:02

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ADA: Cardano continues to trade within the same sideways range that has been in place for several weeks. In a sideways range, breakout attempts frequently fail as long as the range structure remains intact. This often leads to overlapping price action and changing microstructures, which makes smaller wave counts less reliable until the market leaves the range with a confirmed move.
The main support zone that has been monitored for several weeks between USD 0.233 and USD 0.25 remains relevant. As long as price holds above USD 0.233, the structure continues to allow the possibility of a corrective upward move.
However, there is currently no scenario with a high probability for a sustained upside move because the market has not produced a clear 5-wave advance from a local low. A first indication that a local bottom may be forming would be a break above the yellow trendline.

VirtualBacon 🚨

13 мар. 2026 г., 00:02

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Spot Solana ETFs continue to gain popularity.

According to Eric Balchunas from Bloomberg, the funds have attracted around $1.45 billion since launch.

Despite the fact that the price of SOL has dropped by about 57% during that period, roughly 50% of the inflows came from institutional investors.

VirtualBacon 🚨

13 мар. 2026 г., 00:02

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NEAR: So far this is a 3-wave move to the upside from the recent low. If the price breaks above $1.97 then this would indicate that wave iv is already unfolding.

VirtualBacon 🚨

13 мар. 2026 г., 00:02

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BNB: There are some cryptocurrencies where the structure would look better with one more marginal low. However, if upside momentum continues to build, it would increase the probability that a larger bottom has already formed on the BNB chart, potentially within the blue wave 4 structure.
For that interpretation to gain credibility, additional confirmation is still required. At the moment, the market remains within the sideways range that has been in place throughout February. Structurally, nothing decisive has happened yet.

VirtualBacon 🚨

11 мар. 2026 г., 00:55

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SOL: The price has been trading in a sideways range for the past three weeks, forming what appears to be a triangle pattern. A break above the Sunday high at $88.60 would be the first signal that the bulls are taking control and that the triangle may be complete, potentially leading to an upside breakout.

Keep in mind that breakouts from triangles are often aggressive. As the pattern matures, volatility contracts and energy builds up within the structure. Once price breaks through a key boundary, that built-up pressure can release quickly, resulting in a sharp and impulsive move.

VirtualBacon 🚨

11 мар. 2026 г., 00:55

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$BTC has been following the same pattern again and again.

I think there'll be a pump above $74K to trap late buyers before the next big dump.

VirtualBacon 🚨

11 мар. 2026 г., 00:55

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🚨JUST IN: STRATEGY BUYS MORE BITCOIN

Strategy has purchased 3,015 Bitcoin for $204 million, bringing its total holdings to over 720,000 BTC.

VirtualBacon 🚨

11 мар. 2026 г., 00:55

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BTC: Bitcoin appears to have formed a local low and is now moving toward the first resistance zone between $65,609 and $68,457. The support we’ve tracked for the past three weeks continues to hold, with price staying above $62,594. As long as that level remains intact, the broader sideways range is still in play.
I’m watching for a clear five-wave decline on lower time frames. If we see that, it would increase the probability of a larger fifth wave to the downside. A clean break above resistance is needed to shift focus higher and reduce immediate downside risk.
Quick lesson on micro structure in sideways ranges:
In a multi-week range, it is normal that micro structures and setups break. It is also normal to be frustrated. In fact, this means the sideways range is doing its job pretty well. Sideways ranges are corrective. Corrective markets overlap, fake out, and invalidate small impulses quickly. A five-wave move on a 15-minute chart does not automatically become a major trend. Degree matters.
If the high...

VirtualBacon 🚨

11 мар. 2026 г., 00:55

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XRP: The price has not moved much in the last few weeks. The price remains caught in a multi-week sideways range. A break above $1.49 would be the first signal that the bulls are trying to take the lead. All parameters remain unchanged.

VirtualBacon 🚨

11 мар. 2026 г., 00:55

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DOGE: The price reacted clearly from the 0.08 USD level, which remains a key higher-timeframe support. The February bounce was noticeable, but it unfolded only as a 3-wave advance. Structurally, that keeps the move corrective.
For the chart to show early signs of a bottom, price would need to break above 0.118 USD on a sustained basis. Even then, the structure would remain corrective and low confidence, as there is no confirmed impulsive reversal pattern yet. Without a clear 5-wave move to the upside, the broader trend bias remains weak.
Downside pressure is still present. In the absence of impulsive strength above 0.118 USD, a renewed decline toward the 0.05 USD to 0.06 USD region cannot be ruled out. Until stronger structural confirmation appears, the chart remains vulnerable within a broader corrective environment.

VirtualBacon 🚨

9 мар. 2026 г., 20:21

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If #BTC weekly candle closes above the EMA200, then we can expect a bounce back toward 80k in the coming days.

VirtualBacon 🚨

9 мар. 2026 г., 20:21

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BTC: Bitcoin has held the micro support at 66,830 USD. This level must continue to hold in order for the white scenario to remain valid. As long as the Thursday low remains intact, the structure still allows for a push toward the 71,000 USD region.
At present, there is no confirmed 5-wave advance from the recent intraday low. The next 12 to 24 hours are likely to be decisive. A sustained break below the intraday low would invalidate the immediate bullish impulse and shift focus toward lower support.
If downside pressure accelerates, the next key support zone lies between 61,450 USD and 62,590 USD. Additional Fibonacci levels between 64,101 USD and 65,336 USD have been added to the chart, but they represent relatively weaker support. A sustained break below 66,830 USD would significantly weaken the white structure and increase the probability of a deeper corrective phase.

VirtualBacon 🚨

9 мар. 2026 г., 20:21

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BTC: Bitcoin is now moving toward the next support region between 64,080 USD and 65,300 USD. The price is transitioning into an area with less clearly defined structure and reduced technical clarity.
The white scenario, as currently outlined, carries low confidence at this stage. The recent price action has weakened the immediate bullish interpretation and requires reassessment as new structure develops.
An alternative possibility remains the orange triangle scenario, which would allow for further overlapping movement before a directional resolution. Until price stabilizes within the 64,080 USD to 65,300 USD region or produces a confirmed impulsive move, the structure remains uncertain and requires confirmation.

VirtualBacon 🚨

9 мар. 2026 г., 20:21

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XLM: The price is still in a sideways range and the next objective for the bulls is a break above $0.171, which is the last swing high.

VirtualBacon 🚨

9 мар. 2026 г., 20:21

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BTC: I am watching if the bulls can form a leading diagonal pattern to the upside as shown in white. This would be a first confirmation that circle wave B has (finally) completed. One more 4-5 pattern is needed in this case, and micro support is located between $64486 and $65643.

VirtualBacon 🚨

9 мар. 2026 г., 20:21

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SOL: Solana is approaching the top of the local range. This is still a 3-wave move to the upside so far. I will add support once we have an indication that a top has formed.

VirtualBacon 🚨

9 мар. 2026 г., 20:21

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$Bitcoin
BTC: The bulls finally stepped in today and gained traction, something we’ve been waiting to see throughout February.
From here, the path of least resistance still looks higher. A direct push toward the A=C projection at $75,280 appears likely, with room for further upside if momentum persists. It’s been a while since I’ve seen a third wave extend this aggressively from a 1–2 setup like this. That said, when markets do extend, it’s typically in wave 3, unless we’re dealing with gold or silver. In the cryptocurrency market, third waves can be especially extended, and today’s move reflects that character.
If a fourth wave pullback develops, $66,650 is the key support to watch. A break below would raise caution and open the door to the possibility of a bull trap. However, I would need to see a clear 1–2 structure form to the downside below that level before considering short exposure. I now interpret the move to the upside as impulse in circle wave C, not anymore as a diagonal pattern.

VirtualBacon 🚨

4 мар. 2026 г., 02:28

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SOL: The move to the upside from the intraday low could represent a micro 5-wave move to the upside, just like on the Bitcoin chart. However, this move to the upside is too small to be reliable. We need to see the next larger 5-wave pattern for a first confirmation that a low may have formed.

VirtualBacon 🚨

4 мар. 2026 г., 02:28

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First time in Bitcoin's history.

According to the weekly RSI, this is the most oversold it has ever been.

It currently sits at 25.6 which is lower than the previous record low level back after 3AC / Luna crash.

More downside is likely, but a bottom could be coming soon.

VirtualBacon 🚨

3 мар. 2026 г., 02:01

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BTC: This chart combines 3 elements. The white line shows Bitcoin price. The purple line shows the 200-week moving average. The color of the price points reflects the monthly percentage increase of the 200-week moving average.
The 200-week moving average is one of the most important long-term trend indicators for Bitcoin. Historically, it has acted as structural support during bear markets and as a reference level during long-term accumulation phases.
The key addition here is the growth rate. When the 200-week moving average rises quickly, shown in warmer colors, Bitcoin is typically in a strong expansion phase. These periods often align with late-cycle momentum and elevated risk. When the growth rate slows, shown in cooler colors, the market is usually consolidating or correcting.
The moving average itself rarely declines. What changes is the speed of its increase. That speed reflects how strongly capital has been flowing into Bitcoin over the long term.
At present, the 200-week moving average continues t...

VirtualBacon 🚨

3 мар. 2026 г., 02:01

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ETH: The first micro resistance is located between $1867 and $1907. Until we can see an impulsive break above this resistance zone, the pressure continues to point to the downside.

VirtualBacon 🚨

2 мар. 2026 г., 01:58

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🚨UPDATE: MISSOURI BITCOIN RESERVE BILL ADVANCES TO COMMITTEE

Missouri’s Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Fund bill has moved to the House Commerce Committee for review.

This is a key step that would authorize the state treasurer to receive, invest, and hold Bitcoin if enacted.

VirtualBacon 🚨

2 мар. 2026 г., 01:58

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XRP: Over the past few days, the XRP price was monitored for one additional low to complete the structure of wave C to the downside. While the C-wave did not unfold in a particularly clean manner, a 5-wave sequence can now be identified, and price has tested the February 11th lows as anticipated.
The key support region between 1.19 USD and 1.36 USD remains structurally relevant. The focus now shifts to whether bulls can generate a constructive reaction from this zone and initiate the next upside phase. As long as price holds within or above this support area, the potential for stabilization remains valid.
A sustained break above 1.47 USD would indicate that bulls are attempting to regain control and would increase the probability of a broader recovery. Until that confirmation occurs, the structure remains fragile and vulnerable to renewed downside pressure.

VirtualBacon 🚨

2 мар. 2026 г., 01:58

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XLM: The broader interpretation remains unchanged. On the micro level, price is attempting to form a base, but since the February 6th low the market has largely moved sideways. There is no confirmed bullish structure at this stage, as a full 5-wave advance to the upside is still required for confirmation.
Price is currently stabilizing within the support zone between 0.142 USD and 0.152 USD. As long as this area holds, the potential for a developing bottom remains valid. However, a sustained break below 0.142 USD would increase the probability of a move toward the next major support at 0.122 USD. Below that, the 0.103 USD level represents the next structural support.
From the current structure, a decline toward these lower levels cannot be ruled out, as upside momentum remains weak. The focus remains on whether bulls can defend the micro support zone and generate impulsive follow-through. Until a confirmed 5-wave advance develops, the structure remains fragile and speculative.

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VirtualBacon 🚨

Join @virtualbacon_insiders for exclusive Networking content and discussions in 14

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VirtualBacon 🚨

13 мар. 2026 г., 00:02

📷 Photo

$BTC: One of the most consistent patterns in Bitcoin's macro structure is the compression of cycle tops within the logarithmic regression rainbow:
🔴 Cycle 1 (2011): Topped at Band 13 — Blow-Off Territory
🟠 Cycle 2 (2013): Topped at Band 12 — Speculative Excess
🟡 Cycle 3 (2017): Topped at Band 10 — Late Expansion Phase
🟢 Cycle 4 (2021): Topped at Band 8 — Early Expansion Phase
🔵 Cycle 5 (Oct 2025): Topped at Band 6 — Fair Value Mid Range

Each cycle peak has been approximately 2 bands lower than the previous one. This is consistent with the diminishing-returns thesis. As Bitcoin matures and market cap grows, the relative upside per cycle compresses.
On the support side: Band 3 (Deep Value Zone) has repeatedly acted as a floor during accumulation phases across multiple cycles. Historically, sustained time below Band 3 has been rare and short-lived.
What this tells us: The model suggests we're in a structural shift where "blow-off tops" become less extreme with each cycle, but the long-term upward trajectory ...

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